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Todays Racing Tip – TSUNDOKU (NAP)
Time & Track – 8.10 CHEPSTOW
Best Odds – NR
Analysis – I napped him last time out over CD where he totally blew the start was a detached last for the first mile until running on through weakening horses under very very tender handling to finish 12th beaten 25L by runaway winner Grams and Ounces who won again next time off a 5lb higher mark. This again is a very weak race Class 6 0-55 hcap where the selection just 2 months ago was rated 62 now off 46 3lb lower that last time. Ground is described as good which should be ideal as her 2 career wins have been on good and good/soft anything faster than good would be a negative.
Results – Non Runner
Todays Racing Tip – BYRON BLUE
Time & Track – 7.50 STRATFORD
Best Odds – 20-1
Analysis – Formerly a very decent hurdler running off marks of 130+ now down to just 100 in class 5 h’cap. He ran terribly last time out at Worcester where he was beaten over 100L off 105 but I’m attributing that to soft ground as a look through his form would suggest even though he won his first race on soft ground that since then his best form has been on better ground. His last 2 wins have been on good/firm and all his better efforts have come on good or better. This is his first ever run in a grade as low as this over hurdles so in theory his easiest chance yet.
Results – Placed
Todays Racing Tip – NATIONAL SERVICE
Time & Track – 2.15 BRIGHTON
Best Odds – 10-1
Analysis – Although he’s 0/21 on turf and 4/35 on the AW his recent runs on turf including over CD have been encouraging enough to suggest he can win on this surface. He has won 2 h’caps off 54-60 today he runs off just 45. We did do him on the AW a few times over the winter where he was slowly away on every occassion. His last 3 runs 2/8 broke well, 9/15 fly jumped start & last time out 3/9 beaten 1L broke fast so it looks like he’s still got the tendancy though not as often. If he breaks ok he must run a massive race in this company off this mark.
Results – Lost
Todays Racing Tip – LAT HAWILL
Time & Track – 3.30 HAMILTON
Best Odds – 16-1 4places Skybet & Betfred
Analysis – A decent prize for a Tuesday with £19k for the winner of this Class 2 0-100 h’cap tho the top rated is just 96. He was rated 102 when coming over from Ireland to Marco Bottis and then on to K.Dalglish. He’s now rated 90 after a few good runs behind Fastnet Tempest at Chester and Sound Advice again at Chester. Last time he was disappointing when last of 8 behind Nicholas T at Ayr he meets that rival on 5lb better terms here plus he was hampered that day. The only negative i can see and it is a big one is one that long term followers will understand is jockey GLee for me one of the poorest jockeys around. This is the first time he has ridden him and I seriously considered dropping him purely on the jockey but I really like his chances despite him being on board.
Results – Lost
Todays Racing Tip – HARWOODS VOLANTE
Time & Track – 4.30 HAMILTON
Best Odds – 14-1
Analysis – 4 times a winner on turf the last being over 6F on soft ground off 84. Today he has 6F good/soft ground off 84 so ticks a lot of boxes 14-1 looks a bit of ew value. He’s never run here so the track is an unknown though 2 of his wins have come at Yarmouth and York so straight 6F seems to suit.
Results – Paced