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Gary Priestley results : October 6th

Tipsters Review - October 7, 2016



Today’s horse racing tips – Results

Todays Racing Tip – GONINODAETHAT

Time & Track – 2.40 AYR
Best Odds – 14-1 General price
Analysis – He loves this track with all 6 career wins coming here over 6 or 7F. He’s now back down to a rating near the low end of his winning marks, he’s off 53 today with a 5lb claimer riding, his career winning marks range from 50-63. All his wins have come on good or softer ground so todays soft ground is ideal.

Result – Won +16.8

Todays Racing Tip – MASS RALLY

Time & Track – 3.50 AYR
Best Odds – 14-1 Bet365
Analysis – He’s been around a while now competing in some of the biggest h’cap sprints, he won the Ayr Silver Cup in 2012 off 94 and subsequently won a Class 2 at York off 103. Todays he off just 78 on his favour soft ground on the back of a couple of half decent runs including 2nd at Hyadock off 81 on soft and a close 4th at his favoured track York beaten only just under 2L off 80. Last time at Pontefract he was a closing 6th of 11 behind the in form Lincoln. He’s now 2lb below that run against similar types.

Result – Lost


Todays Racing Tip – NEWSTEAD ABBEY

Time & Track – 4.25 AYR
Best Odds – 12-1 General Price
Analysis – Ran a blinder a Chester last time when left behind at the start, running on through beaten horses to be a well held third behind runaway winner Above The Rest. His best runs have been when ridden up with the pace so that makes his last run that little bit better. He’s come down 11lb in just his last 4 runs and is now 7lb below his last winning mark.

Result – Lost

Todays Racing Tip – ROIJA DAY

Time & Track – 5.30 AYR
Best Odds – 10-1 – Bet365
Analysis – A frustrating horse who runs well one day and then throws in a shocker, he’s only won 2 of his 54 career races but both were on a soft surface including one over CD.Those 2 wins were off 60 & 61 today he runs from 1lb wrong in the weights off 46 and this comes on the back of a decent run last time at Hamilton when beaten only 2L into 6th over 8F. The concern might be the drop back in trip doesn’t suit as he’s not run over 7F for nearly a year.

Result – Won +12.5

Todays Racing Tip – HEAT STORM

Time & Track – 8.25 CHELMSFORD

Best Odds – 50/1 general

Analysis – I’m going for one that has never been placed in any of his 11 career runs to date and was last of 4 finishers on his only run here. So why do I like him, to start with I noted him when running on after being hampered at Yarmouth when 4th of 10. That was over 9F, he then ran here iover 10F in a 5 runners race so I couldn’t do him as I hate small fields as they throw up unusual results. Last time I again didn’t do him as I felt 12F was too far for him as his only 2 races at 12F or further have resulted in 12th of 12 and 10th of 10, my feelings were proven when only 7th of 9. So why should today be any different, well he’s over 10F which I feel is his trip plus those last 3 races were 0-65, 0-60 & 0-60 h’caps todays is only 0-55 so a slight drop in grade on a track he’s run on already and with 16 runners plenty of runners to get him covered up, yes he’ll need luck in running but hopefully the odds will warrent the gamble.

Result – Lost

Todays Racing Tip – ASCENDANT

Time & Track – 3.40 HEREFORD

Best Odds – 40/1 coral

Analysis – A little bit of a risk on the fitness after 109 days off but he comes back dropped in grade down 5lbs and first time cheek pieces for a trainer who so far this jumps season has a 50% S/R May 1/2-June 0/1 July 0/1 Aug 1/1 Sept 1/1. The last time he ran in Class 4 he won by 7L over 2m at Ludlow off 114 in a 17 runner race on soft ground. He subsequently won a Class 3 off 125 and went into the 130’s and ran in Grade 3 h’cap at Sandown. His last run was Class 2 at Worcester 0-150 back in June where unsurprisingly he was pulled up out classed at 50-1. He has won 10 of 51 career races including 6 over hurdles of which 1 was over CD admittedly 5 years ago in a seller when rated 130.

Result – None Runner

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